Hispanics turn their back to Republicans
November 7 election of US congress passed and the discussions following it is spreading everyday. Different statistics came out of this mid-term election dealing with people of different districts and ethnic groups. Of various ethnic groups that had a great influence over the election result are Hispanics that are the biggest minority group in US. Historically speaking as it has been stated in the other posts as well Hispanics used to support Republicans. Republicans defeated among Hispanics this year. From George Bush's 40% share in 2004, the Republicans managed only to gain only 30% this year. The explosive growth of Hispanics in the Southeastern Hispanics works well for Democrats.
White voters were split to vote for Democrats and Republicans; they had stuck by Republicans in the last midterm election. Three-fourths of Hispanics backed Democrats despite Republican efforts specifically led by Bush to attract more of them over the last few years. Hispanics 70 percent to Democrats and some believe this shift decided the election. It is interesting to mention that Blacks supported Democrats. “In a national poll last month, 34 percent of Hispanics called themselves conservative, 29 percent moderate and only 24 percent liberal.” In a State like Texas, approximately 25 percent voted for Democrats according to preliminary turnout results by the William C. Velasquez Institute, a nonpartisan Latino-oriented research group with offices in San Antonio and Los Angeles. Neel Pender, the executive director of the Democratic Party of Oregon said it’s "difficult to determine for which party Hispanics voted, but we believe they yielded more votes for the Democrats." Although it is crucial to mention that some individual Republicans fared better among Hispanics.
The reasons that are mainly argued as the cause for this decline of Hispanic support for Republicans are discussed below. One of the reasons is that Democrat politicians have not strongly expressed concern over homeland security, American language- while there is a debate over the unique national language of America- and culture, thus the ethnic group with the greatest number of illegal immigrants favored them in the United States. The most important issue in this case can be the Republican’s taking a tough approach on illegal immigration, ordering the fence in US-Mexico border line- after Hispanics gave the GOP their support in the 2004 presidential election for Bush. Hispanics favored Democrats because they are much nearer to the issues like education and health care. That effort was working pretty well. Between 1996 and 2004, Bush’s effort to woo Hispanics had a result that the percentage of Hispanics voting Republican in 2004 presidential elections grew up from 21 percent to 44 percent for Bush two years ago. The issue isn’t just immigration laws by Bush administration but Republican hard-liners’ status was so annoying for Hispanics even for the Hispanics that agree and help government on safe borders. Hispanics are dealing with a debate that whether they are considered as “us” or “them” meaning with US or against US. Some Republicans call newcomers as terrorists and criminals. Many Hispanics are identified with terrorist; even some say they help terrorists in India and Bangladesh. "With respect to immigration, the Republican Party handed the Democratic Party a gift," said Democratic activist Andrea LaRue, co-chairwoman of Immigration2006.org. "The GOP's mishandling of this issue has alienated the fastest-growing group of new voters in the nation.” Although, it is clear that war in Iraq and the recent congressional scandals hurt Republican candidates in the midterm elections.
Several intrepretations is on the table about the 2008 presidential campaign in US among hispanics. “Hispanics were 5% of 95 million voters in 1996, 6% of 105 million voters in 2000, and 8.5% of 122 million voters in 2004. With a highly competitive election in 2008 and a heavy voter registration drive, we could be looking at an electorate that includes a Hispanic component amounting to 10% of 130 million voters in 2008,” Democratic strategist reported. If this decline continues to 2008, it means a decline of 1.3 million Hispanic Republican votes in elections. Arizona, New Mexico, Florida, and Colorado, all of which include large Hispanic populations will play significant roles in the election result. In the next presidential campaign competition between the two parties to make policy that helps Hispanics determines the successful party. It is a difficult task on the shoulder of Republicans to heal the wound they left on Hispanics if they are viewing toward future.
References:
- http://www.democraticstrategic.com/
- http://www.cfp.com/
- http://www.sfgate.com/
- http://www.theconservativevoice.com/
- http://www.statesmanjournal.com/
- http://www.progressiveu.org/
- http://www.dfw.com/
White voters were split to vote for Democrats and Republicans; they had stuck by Republicans in the last midterm election. Three-fourths of Hispanics backed Democrats despite Republican efforts specifically led by Bush to attract more of them over the last few years. Hispanics 70 percent to Democrats and some believe this shift decided the election. It is interesting to mention that Blacks supported Democrats. “In a national poll last month, 34 percent of Hispanics called themselves conservative, 29 percent moderate and only 24 percent liberal.” In a State like Texas, approximately 25 percent voted for Democrats according to preliminary turnout results by the William C. Velasquez Institute, a nonpartisan Latino-oriented research group with offices in San Antonio and Los Angeles. Neel Pender, the executive director of the Democratic Party of Oregon said it’s "difficult to determine for which party Hispanics voted, but we believe they yielded more votes for the Democrats." Although it is crucial to mention that some individual Republicans fared better among Hispanics.
The reasons that are mainly argued as the cause for this decline of Hispanic support for Republicans are discussed below. One of the reasons is that Democrat politicians have not strongly expressed concern over homeland security, American language- while there is a debate over the unique national language of America- and culture, thus the ethnic group with the greatest number of illegal immigrants favored them in the United States. The most important issue in this case can be the Republican’s taking a tough approach on illegal immigration, ordering the fence in US-Mexico border line- after Hispanics gave the GOP their support in the 2004 presidential election for Bush. Hispanics favored Democrats because they are much nearer to the issues like education and health care. That effort was working pretty well. Between 1996 and 2004, Bush’s effort to woo Hispanics had a result that the percentage of Hispanics voting Republican in 2004 presidential elections grew up from 21 percent to 44 percent for Bush two years ago. The issue isn’t just immigration laws by Bush administration but Republican hard-liners’ status was so annoying for Hispanics even for the Hispanics that agree and help government on safe borders. Hispanics are dealing with a debate that whether they are considered as “us” or “them” meaning with US or against US. Some Republicans call newcomers as terrorists and criminals. Many Hispanics are identified with terrorist; even some say they help terrorists in India and Bangladesh. "With respect to immigration, the Republican Party handed the Democratic Party a gift," said Democratic activist Andrea LaRue, co-chairwoman of Immigration2006.org. "The GOP's mishandling of this issue has alienated the fastest-growing group of new voters in the nation.” Although, it is clear that war in Iraq and the recent congressional scandals hurt Republican candidates in the midterm elections.
Several intrepretations is on the table about the 2008 presidential campaign in US among hispanics. “Hispanics were 5% of 95 million voters in 1996, 6% of 105 million voters in 2000, and 8.5% of 122 million voters in 2004. With a highly competitive election in 2008 and a heavy voter registration drive, we could be looking at an electorate that includes a Hispanic component amounting to 10% of 130 million voters in 2008,” Democratic strategist reported. If this decline continues to 2008, it means a decline of 1.3 million Hispanic Republican votes in elections. Arizona, New Mexico, Florida, and Colorado, all of which include large Hispanic populations will play significant roles in the election result. In the next presidential campaign competition between the two parties to make policy that helps Hispanics determines the successful party. It is a difficult task on the shoulder of Republicans to heal the wound they left on Hispanics if they are viewing toward future.
References:
- http://www.democraticstrategic.com/
- http://www.cfp.com/
- http://www.sfgate.com/
- http://www.theconservativevoice.com/
- http://www.statesmanjournal.com/
- http://www.progressiveu.org/
- http://www.dfw.com/
posted by Azadeh Ghahghaei at 4:24 AM
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